Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach69"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
57%
Strike defense
55%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.88
44%
Takedown accuracy
57%
77%
Takedown defense
67%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaScott Holtzman
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (33%)
Submission
2 (14%)
2 (8%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva66%
Scott Holtzman 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 66% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Holtzman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Alex da Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.