Alex da Silva vs Zafar Mohsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-5-0Record15-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach71"
159 lbsWeight150 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamKiboju Fight Fabrik Mannheim
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex da SilvaZafar Mohsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zafar Mohsen61%
Alex da Silva 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zafar Mohsen a 61% favorite over Alex da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex da Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1663), separated by just 0 points.
Zafar Mohsen enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Zafar Mohsen 80%.
Alex da Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.