Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Enlund vs Shin Haraguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
SBG ManchesterTeamBrave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex EnlundNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Shin HaraguchiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
64%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
11.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
54%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex EnlundShin Haraguchi
1550160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
11 (79%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shin Haraguchi63%
Alex Enlund 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shin Haraguchi a 63% favorite over Alex Enlund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Enlund finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Shin Haraguchi 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.