Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Gilpin vs Sheymon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach72,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chosen Few GymTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex GilpinNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Sheymon MoraesNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.80
Sig. strikes / min
3
54%
Strike accuracy
42%
12.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
43%
Strike defense
64%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
54%
2.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex GilpinSheymon Moraes
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
9 (60%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (20%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Sheymon Moraes52%
Alex Gilpin 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sheymon Moraes a 52% favorite over Alex Gilpin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1671), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Gilpin finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sheymon Moraes 53%.

Alex Gilpin and Sheymon Moraes share 1 common opponent: Lance Palmer.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision · 2019
Loss Decision · 2019
Loss Decision · 2019
Lance Palmer
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022