Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Gorgees vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight149 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex GorgeesNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Rustam AsuevNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex GorgeesRustam Asuev
155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (17%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Gorgees57%
Rustam Asuev 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Gorgees a 57% favorite over Rustam Asuev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Gorgees finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.