Alex Lohoré vs Jason Witt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-12-0Record19-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach70"
175 lbsWeight180 lbs
Allrounders MMATeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Alex Lohoré is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Witt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex LohoréJason Witt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Lohoré63%
Jason Witt 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Lohoré a 63% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alex Lohoré holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1597, a 28-point edge.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Lohoré finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jason Witt 61%.
Alex Lohoré carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.