Alex Lohoré vs Matt Schnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-12-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'8"
76"Reach70"
175 lbsWeight135 lbs
Allrounders MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Alex Lohoré is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex LohoréMatt Schnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Lohoré and Matt Schnell within a point of even.
Alex Lohoré holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1606, a 19-point edge.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Lohoré finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.
Alex Lohoré carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.