Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morono vs Jeremiah Wells

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Morono
us

Alex Morono

“The Great White”

24-13-0WelterweightUFC

1687Good

Tale of the tape

24-13-0Record13-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex MoronoNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.28
56%
Strike defense
48%
0.33
Takedown avg.
3.06
24%
Takedown accuracy
3%
48%
Takedown defense
50%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Alex MoronoJeremiah Wells
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (26%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
7 (30%)
Submission
4 (31%)
10 (43%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Morono52%
Jeremiah Wells 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 52% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Wells's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Wells 69%.

Alex Morono and Jeremiah Wells share 2 common opponents: Court McGee and Matthew Semelsberger.

Jeremiah Wells carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Matthew Semelsberger
WinDecision - Split · 2023
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Court McGee
WinKO · 2022