Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morono vs Josiah Harrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Morono
us

Alex Morono

“The Great White”

24-13-0WelterweightUFC

1687Good

Tale of the tape

24-13-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamGrove City BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex MoronoNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Josiah HarrellNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
0
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.33
Takedown avg.
TBD
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
48%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex MoronoJosiah Harrell
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (26%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
7 (30%)
Submission
4 (36%)
10 (43%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Josiah Harrell63%
Alex Morono 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 63% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Morono's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.

Alex Morono carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.