Alex Oliveira vs Bobby Nash
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-16-1Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
76"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraBobby Nash
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bobby Nash63%
Alex Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Nash a 63% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Bobby Nash 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.