Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Oliveira vs Chris Morris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-16-1Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
76"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamNorth West Fight Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex OliveiraNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Chris MorrisNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
2.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex OliveiraChris Morris
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
5 (20%)
Submission
1 (33%)
5 (20%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Morris76%
Alex Oliveira 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Morris a 76% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1598), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Morris enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alex Oliveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Morris 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.