Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Ali Bagautinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record22-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
65"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamFight Club Krepost

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Ali BagautinovNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.07
Takedown avg.
2.51
21%
Takedown accuracy
37%
74%
Takedown defense
65%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Alex PerezAli Bagautinov
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
7 (27%)
Submission
5 (23%)
12 (46%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez56%
Ali Bagautinov 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 56% favorite over Ali Bagautinov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Bagautinov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1714), separated by just 7 points.

Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Ali Bagautinov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.