Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs André Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
65"Reach67″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
André LimaNow 1718
If they win+15→ 1733
If they lose-17→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
45%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
59%
Strike defense
58%
2.07
Takedown avg.
1.36
21%
Takedown accuracy
75%
74%
Takedown defense
75%
0.83
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Alex PerezAndré Lima
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
7 (27%)
Submission
1 (10%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

André Lima61%
Alex Perez 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 61% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1718), separated by just 11 points.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, André Lima 60%.

André Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.