Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Magomed Bibulatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team OyamaTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Magomed BibulatovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.07
Takedown avg.
2.85
21%
Takedown accuracy
40%
74%
Takedown defense
75%
0.83
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex PerezMagomed Bibulatov
170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
7 (27%)
Submission
5 (24%)
12 (46%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez61%
Magomed Bibulatov 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 61% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Bibulatov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.