Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Reyes vs Efrain Escudero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record32-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ReyesNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
47%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
48%
Strike defense
63%
1.50
Takedown avg.
1.31
29%
Takedown accuracy
41%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Alex ReyesEfrain Escudero
160020232024

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (6%)
4 (31%)
Submission
16 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Reyes and Efrain Escudero within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.

Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Efrain Escudero 56%.

Alex Reyes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.