Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Reyes vs Marcin Bandel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record22-9-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamZenith Vera Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ReyesNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Marcin BandelNow 1605
If they win+12→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.26
48%
Strike defense
23%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ReyesMarcin Bandel
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
4 (31%)
Submission
19 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Reyes55%
Marcin Bandel 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Reyes a 55% favorite over Marcin Bandel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1605), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcin Bandel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Bandel 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.