Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Soto vs Guido Cannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Soto
us

Alex Soto

“Extremo”

8-3-1BantamweightBFC

1531Average

Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record10-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamOur Town MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SotoNow 1531
If they win+15→ 1546
If they lose-17→ 1514
Guido CannettiNow 1517
If they win+17→ 1534
If they lose-15→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
25%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
59%
Strike defense
51%
2.82
Takedown avg.
2.27
30%
Takedown accuracy
55%
0%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Alex SotoGuido Cannetti
150015502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (40%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Soto70%
Guido Cannetti 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Soto a 70% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1517), separated by just 14 points.

Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Soto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Guido Cannetti 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.