Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex White vs Erick Maia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex White
us

Alex White

“The Spartan”

14-6-0LightweightCOH

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
71,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team DestructionTeamLabareda Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex WhiteNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Erick MaiaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
28%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.52
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex WhiteErick Maia
15001550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (36%)
Submission
6 (67%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia60%
Alex White 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 60% favorite over Alex White in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex White's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex White finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Erick Maia 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.