Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Gustafsson vs Simeon Powell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach85"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamTitan Fighter Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander GustafssonNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Simeon PowellNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
1.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
84%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander GustafssonSimeon Powell
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
3 (17%)
Submission
3 (25%)
4 (22%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Simeon Powell70%
Alexander Gustafsson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Simeon Powell a 70% favorite over Alexander Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Gustafsson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1672), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Gustafsson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Powell 75%.

Simeon Powell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.