Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Jason Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Jason GonzalezNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovJason Gonzalez
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (64%)
12 (63%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov63%
Jason Gonzalez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 63% favorite over Jason Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Jason Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Jason Gonzalez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.