Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovMarc Diakiese
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (6%)
12 (63%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov60%
Marc Diakiese 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 60% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marc Diakiese's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.