Alexander Otsuka vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-13-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Alexander Otsuka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1491
If they lose-14→ 1459
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander OtsukaKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson64%
Alexander Otsuka 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 64% favorite over Alexander Otsuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1473, a 36-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Otsuka finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.