Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Poppeck vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach74,0"
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamBrazilian TKO

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander PoppeckNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
58%
Strike accuracy
41%
9.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
33%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.64
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
0%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander PoppeckKlidson Abreu
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (63%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Poppeck and Klidson Abreu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1646), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Poppeck finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.