Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Trevino vs Brian Stapleton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-10-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachN/A
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Gracie Fighter MMA AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TrevinoNow 1460
If they win+17→ 1477
If they lose-15→ 1445
Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander TrevinoBrian Stapleton
14501500201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton57%
Alexander Trevino 43%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 57% favorite over Alexander Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1460 vs 1473), separated by just 13 points.

Alexander Trevino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Trevino finishes 89% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.