Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Austin Hubbard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record16-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.66
Takedown avg.
1.59
35%
Takedown accuracy
32%
72%
Takedown defense
68%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevAustin Hubbard
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
9 (36%)
Submission
2 (13%)
7 (28%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard70%
Alexander Yakovlev 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 70% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1619), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Austin Hubbard 44%.

Alexander Yakovlev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.