Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record24-20-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.66
Takedown avg.
0.58
35%
Takedown accuracy
39%
72%
Takedown defense
81%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevMichael Johnson
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
9 (36%)
Submission
2 (8%)
7 (28%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson66%
Alexander Yakovlev 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 66% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Yakovlev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1613), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.