Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Dantas vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
176 lbsWeight262 lbs
Black TeamTeamCM System

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Dantas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre DantasNow 1447
If they win+29→ 1476
If they lose-19→ 1428
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+9→ 1530
If they lose-15→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.21
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
25%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
61%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
100%
3.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexandre DantasMatheus Scheffel
1450150015501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel72%
Alexandre Dantas 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 72% favorite over Alexandre Dantas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1447, a 74-point edge.

Alexandre Dantas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.