Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Riki Fukuda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.60
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichRiki Fukuda
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
1 (5%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (32%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexey Shurkevich71%
Riki Fukuda 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Shurkevich a 71% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1670), separated by just 4 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Riki Fukuda 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.