Alfie Davis vs Damian Rzepecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach73.6"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamTop Fit Center Piotrkow Trybunalski
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisDamian Rzepecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Rzepecki60%
Alfie Davis 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Rzepecki a 60% favorite over Alfie Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alfie Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1693), separated by just 1 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Damian Rzepecki enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Damian Rzepecki 90%.
Damian Rzepecki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.