Combat Edge Intelligence

Alfonso Alcarez vs Daniel Bzdigian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-3-1Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'10''
TBDReach70''
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nickwan Kick GymTeamTeam Bodyshop

What's at stake

Daniel Bzdigian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Alfonso Alcarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alfonso AlcarezNow 1441
If they win+26→ 1467
If they lose-22→ 1419
Daniel BzdigianNow 1477
If they win+22→ 1499
If they lose-26→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alfonso AlcarezDaniel Bzdigian
14501500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Bzdigian84%
Alfonso Alcarez 16%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Bzdigian a 84% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Daniel Bzdigian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1477 to 1441, a 36-point edge.

Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.