Combat Edge Intelligence

Alfred Khashakyan vs Geraldo de Freitas Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Glendale Fighting ClubTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alfred KhashakyanNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Now 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
40%
Strike defense
50%
3.54
Takedown avg.
3
25%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alfred KhashakyanGeraldo de Freitas Jr.
160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Alfred Khashakyan52%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alfred Khashakyan a 52% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alfred Khashakyan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.