Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Bagautinov vs André Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach67″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali BagautinovNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
André LimaNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
42%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
52%
Strike defense
58%
2.51
Takedown avg.
1.36
37%
Takedown accuracy
75%
65%
Takedown defense
75%
0.26
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Ali BagautinovAndré Lima
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
5 (23%)
Submission
1 (10%)
11 (50%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

André Lima71%
Ali Bagautinov 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 71% favorite over Ali Bagautinov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1718), separated by just 4 points.

Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, André Lima 60%.

André Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.