Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibi Idiris vs Jeff Molina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record11-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Erkin KushTeamGlory MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alibi IdirisNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Jeff MolinaNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
7.25
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.04
54%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alibi IdirisJeff Molina
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (18%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (45%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alibi Idiris60%
Jeff Molina 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alibi Idiris a 60% favorite over Jeff Molina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1692), separated by just 3 points.

Jeff Molina enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alibi Idiris finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Molina 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.