Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Valerie Letourneau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
62" Reach68,0"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fearless MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Valerie LetourneauNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
46%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
62%
Strike defense
59%
1
Takedown avg.
0.77
44%
Takedown accuracy
45%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanValerie Letourneau
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (10%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Ardelean66%
Valerie Letourneau 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 66% favorite over Valerie Letourneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1582), separated by just 9 points.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Valerie Letourneau 50%.

Valerie Letourneau carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.