Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Ben Rothwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record39-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
-Reach78"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamRothwell MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Ben RothwellNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.68
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevBen Rothwell
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
28 (72%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (18%)
7 (47%)
Decision
4 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev72%
Ben Rothwell 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 72% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1713), separated by just 4 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ben Rothwell 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.