Alikhan Vakhaev vs Dan Severn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record101-19-7
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight253 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamThe Beast Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan VakhaevDan Severn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alikhan Vakhaev62%
Dan Severn 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 62% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Severn's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1715), separated by just 6 points.
Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Dan Severn 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.