Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record25-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevPhil De Fries
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
1 (7%)
Submission
14 (56%)
7 (47%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev70%
Phil De Fries 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 70% favorite over Phil De Fries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.