Alistair Overeem vs Denis Goltsov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
TBDReach78.00"
256 lbsWeight248 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamSambo Piter
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemDenis Goltsov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Goltsov72%
Alistair Overeem 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Goltsov a 72% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1765), separated by just 5 points.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Denis Goltsov 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.