Allen Frye vs Roy Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record24-20-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"Reach72,0"
265 lbsWeight249 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamCountry Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allen FryeRoy Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Allen Frye70%
Roy Nelson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Allen Frye a 70% favorite over Roy Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roy Nelson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.
Roy Nelson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roy Nelson 83%.
Allen Frye carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.