Combat Edge Intelligence

Alptekin Ozkilic vs Daniel Barez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alptekin OzkilicNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
32%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.95
59%
Strike defense
50%
4.21
Takedown avg.
1.93
58%
Takedown accuracy
29%
75%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Alptekin OzkilicDaniel Barez
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (35%)
6 (67%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barez66%
Alptekin Ozkilic 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 66% favorite over Alptekin Ozkilic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1594), separated by just 3 points.

Alptekin Ozkilic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alptekin Ozkilic finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Barez 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.