Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Cacdac vs Davi Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-13-0Record7-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamTeam Frota

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin CacdacNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Davi SantosNow 1571
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alvin CacdacDavi Santos
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Santos61%
Alvin Cacdac 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Santos a 61% favorite over Alvin Cacdac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1571), separated by just 9 points.

Alvin Cacdac finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Davi Santos 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.