Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Denzel Freeman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach78"
260 lbsWeight262 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Denzel FreemanNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
32%
Strike accuracy
62%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
38%
Strike defense
61%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesDenzel Freeman
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Denzel Freeman59%
Alvin Hines 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denzel Freeman a 59% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alvin Hines's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Denzel Freeman 71%.

Denzel Freeman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.