Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Jamal Pogues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamal Pogues
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Jamal Pogues

“The Stormtrooper”

11-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach77"
260 lbsWeight266 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Jamal PoguesNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
32%
Strike accuracy
45%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
38%
Strike defense
50%
1
Takedown avg.
2.40
10%
Takedown accuracy
48%
0%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesJamal Pogues
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (9%)
1 (14%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines57%
Jamal Pogues 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 57% favorite over Jamal Pogues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jamal Pogues 45%.

Jamal Pogues carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.