Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Mario Neto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mario Neto
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Mario Neto

“Sukata”

13-5-0Heavyweight

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight229 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamMario Sukata Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Mario NetoNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
1.89
32%
Strike accuracy
50%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
38%
Strike defense
71%
1
Takedown avg.
2.84
10%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesMario Neto
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
3 (43%)
Submission
8 (62%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines52%
Mario Neto 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 52% favorite over Mario Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Mario Neto enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mario Neto 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.