Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Matt Mitrione

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach43,0"
260 lbsWeight255 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Matt MitrioneNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
32%
Strike accuracy
50%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
38%
Strike defense
65%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Alvin HinesMatt Mitrione
15501600165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines70%
Matt Mitrione 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 70% favorite over Matt Mitrione in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Mitrione's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.