Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Pete Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record12-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight225 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamLion's Den

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Pete WilliamsNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
0.61
32%
Strike accuracy
63%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.77
38%
Strike defense
40%
1
Takedown avg.
1.84
10%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
17%
0
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

Alvin HinesPete Williams
15501600165020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
3 (43%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines64%
Pete Williams 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 64% favorite over Pete Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pete Williams's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Pete Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Pete Williams 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.