Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Aliakbari vs Ruslan Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
250 lbsWeight249 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amir AliakbariNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
89%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amir AliakbariRuslan Magomedov
16501700175020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (23%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Amir Aliakbari52%
Ruslan Magomedov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amir Aliakbari a 52% favorite over Ruslan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ruslan Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1697), separated by just 2 points.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amir Aliakbari finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.