Amiran Gogoladze vs Jefferson Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record13-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight154 lbs
13 Legion MMA TeamTeamRenovacao Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amiran GogoladzeJefferson Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jefferson Nascimento60%
Amiran Gogoladze 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jefferson Nascimento a 60% favorite over Amiran Gogoladze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1674), separated by just 5 points.
Amiran Gogoladze enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jefferson Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amiran Gogoladze finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jefferson Nascimento 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.