Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Diego Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0 Record 19-7-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 5'9"
71" Reach 74"
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School Team Fortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Diego FerreiraNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.82
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.46
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Amru Magomedov Diego Ferreira
1650 1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
5 (50%)
Submission
7 (37%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Amru Magomedov70%
Diego Ferreira30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 70% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Ferreira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1726), separated by just 3 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 63%.

Diego Ferreira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.