Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Jesus Pinedo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record25-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Jesus PinedoNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.37
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amru MagomedovJesus Pinedo
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
16 (64%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (16%)
2 (20%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Amru Magomedov54%
Jesus Pinedo 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 54% favorite over Jesus Pinedo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1720), separated by just 3 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Pinedo 80%.

Jesus Pinedo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.